Link to home
Start Free TrialLog in
Avatar of Dkeyte
Dkeyte

asked on

How/can one find the SPOT 3 month interest rate for a Eurodollar loan using Eurodollar futures contracts?

If I gave you the last price of 3 month and 6 month Eurodollar futures (3 month loans that begin in 3 months and 6 months from now) is there a way to imply what the current (spot) 3 month Eurodollar interest rate would be?

To clarify: The Eurodollar futures contract (traded on the CME) is an actively traded proxy for 3 month LIBOR. If you subtract the futures price from 100 you get the interest rate of a 3 month loan that begins on the date the futures contract specifies. If I imported into Excel the rate of a 3 month loan starting December 15th and the rate of a 3 month loan starting March 15th how can I imply the interest rate of a 3 month loan starting now?
Avatar of aburr
aburr
Flag of United States of America image

There are many ways to do what you wish. Most of them will give you the wrong answer. The difficulty is predicting the future.

The best way is to look up the current rate on the internet.

The next best way is to assume a linear change
     Current rate = dec rate  (march rate  dec rate)
You can then check the reasonableness of the linear assumption by checking the current rate on the internet (or elsewhere.)
the - sign did not go through      The odd symbol after the = sign is a - sign (minus)
Avatar of Dkeyte
Dkeyte

ASKER

Thanks for the reply. The symbols in your equation show up as boxes. Is this the correct equation?
Current rate = Dec rate - (Dec rate - March rate)

And it appears this gives a linear answer that I could check against the current 3 month rate. I will try this but isn't there a more advanced equation for this problem like the expectations theory or something?

If you wanted to know the current 3 month loan rate that most big banks could borow and lend around, and intra day, how would you do it? LIBOR is only updated once per 24 hours as far as I know.
ASKER CERTIFIED SOLUTION
Avatar of aburr
aburr
Flag of United States of America image

Link to home
membership
This solution is only available to members.
To access this solution, you must be a member of Experts Exchange.
Start Free Trial