On November 2, all 435 members of the House and 35 members of the US Senate are up for re-election. Given the current political climate in the US, how many of those 470 people will actually be re-elected? 60% of points will go to the closest, 30% to second closest and 10% to third.
Feel free to editorialize your prognostications.
Points will be awarded on November 3.