I hate to see a country tearing itself apart as Libya is doing, especially in the light of the natural catastophy Japan is suffering. A man-made catastrophy seems all the more pointless.
Yet I don't think we are seeing much truth about this on the various news media. I get suspcious when I hear phrases being dropped like "humanitarian crisis". It seems the media want us to perceive this event in a particular way, yet I remain unconvinced.
Gaddafi's abolsute rule is different to other Arab nations only in the sense that he is not Royal and that he is stealing much of the wealth of the nation for himself - a typical disease of dictators. But if you think about it, all Royal families came to power by conquering it's opposition then setting up a dynasty. The only Arab country that has a democracy is Iraq...
The western governments are quick to play the humanitarian saviour role and recognise the rebels as legimate and label Gaddafi is committing humanitarian crimes against his people. Yet what I see in the news and photographs is a civil war. Military units and battelions have turned against the establishment and are fightuing with equal fervour. To me this is not genocide, nor is it any less "humanitarian" than in any war. If you look at Libya's humanitarian record, it's no more barbaric than that practised by Saudi Arabia, or Iran. Gaddafi hasn't had a history of humanitarian crimes against his people any more than any other Arab Nation.
The reason, in my view, that the west want to establish diplomatic contact with the rebels, is to "assist" them to create a democratic nation run by individuals with whom they can do business, in particular within the oil industry and defence. That is why Russia won't support international action... they have a few billions tied up in defence contracts with Gaddafi that will disappear if the rebels win.
In my opinion, the reason the western governments think they can get away with it is because like Saddam, Gaddafi is a loose canon that no political or religious group likes or supports. This means few or no political or religious repercussions.
Ok, but back to my questions:
Is this a genocide or a civil war?
What do you think the oucome will be?
What do you think they outcome will be if Gaddafi falls?