VPS required for 100k - 200k uniques/month?

I'm helping a friend migrate a blogger site to wordpress and need to make some hosting decisions.  It will be importing 8 years worth of posts,   NO e-commerce.  Each post is 7-10 pictures and text.

The guy who developed the wordpress was trying to push me into a $150-$200 / month VPS hosting plan, and he wanted $800/year for maintenance.

The site currently gets 100,000 uniques/month.  

Is that over-kill?

The godaddy "ultimate" says it can handle 400,000 uniques/month and is only $15/month

My main concern is consistency of performance.

The user who will be responsible for the site is very non-technical and isn't well suited to any maintenance.   A simple managed wordpress plan seems more his speed.

Thoughts?

Thanks,
Mike
mike2401Asked:
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Jason C. LevineDon't talk to me.Commented:
Way overkill.

There are tons of $12-25/month plans that will hand,e loads as you describe. I would look closely at DreamPress from Dreamhost or the equivalents at Bluehost or GoDaddy

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mike2401Author Commented:
BTW, go daddy told me that their shared is actually a collection of clustered servers which are actually more robust than a single virtual machine, and they are able to withstand huge spikes in traffic.
Jason C. LevineDon't talk to me.Commented:
GoDaddy says a lot of things to get your money.  

I've not had good experiences with them in the past so I will not have any experiences with them in the future.  But a lot of people host there, so do your due diligence and draw your own conclusions.

But we can agree that $200/month for a basic blog site with medium traffic is still overkill.
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David Johnson, CD, MVPRetiredCommented:
The problem with wordpress is keeping it updated. One must run updates at least weekly.  Like Windows, Wordpress is because of its popularity a major target.  Even wordpress offers site hosting @ $99 year https://wordpress.com/pricing/
Jason C. LevineDon't talk to me.Commented:
Even wordpress offers site hosting @ $99 year https://wordpress.com/pricing/

Yeah, but hosting at wordpress.com is a totally different animal from self-hosted WordPress.  No themes or plugins except what they give you..

And keeping WordPress updated isn't the chore you think it is.  The core updates itself now and plugins can be set to update automatically through Jetpack or any number of third-party services.
mike2401Author Commented:
Are there any OBJECTIVE reviews out there?  I keep finding phone sponsored posts from sites which pretend to be objective web host reviewers?

The only one I found from a name I recognize was:
http://www.pcmag.com/article2/0,2817,2479353,00.asp

(And, I'm not sure if pcmag is truly objective anyway)

Even though this isn't one of their Editors Choices, I'm leaning towards this because of the feature set:  free ssl, free shopping cart (though I'm not doing commerce right now), and 30 days worth of backups, which seems really important with how frequently wordpress and its plug ins will be updating, especially if I didn't notice there was a problem:

This Growbig plan @ $15/month:
https://www.siteground.com/features/wordpress-hosting.htm
mike2401Author Commented:
I didn't like this one as much, but they were one of the pcmag editor choice hosts:
http://www.inmotionhosting.com/pcmag-wordpress-promo
mike2401Author Commented:
In the end, I purchased a hosting plan with Blue.  Their dedicated wordpress plans are actually VPS for only $25/month.  Their support was helpful in getting my WP site setup.

Thanks everyone.  I will close the call and attempt to award points to all who were kind enough to weigh in.

It looks like the Expert's interface changed and makes me pick a best.  Hmm.  I like the old interface better :-)
Jason C. LevineDon't talk to me.Commented:
Same basic system, different buttons.
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