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Expected time for an event

camper12
camper12 asked
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Last Modified: 2017-05-01
Hi Experts,

Please help me think through the following probability problem:

An event can happen anytime during the next 10 years (2017-2026)
For each of the years 2017,2018,2019 we are given conditional probabilities of the event taking place. How can I solve for the probability of the event happening during 2020-2026 when my expected time of event is 2 years.

Thanks
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